Patch tracker / CVE reference / CVE-2024-38154

CVE-2024-38154

CVE-2024-38154 is a high severity Microsoft vulnerability with a CVSS score of 8.8. Its EPSS score puts the probability of exploitation in the next 30 days at 71%. Microsoft has shipped the fix: deploy one of the 10 updates below from the Microsoft Update Catalog, and see where this CVE sits against the rest on the patch tracker.

Risk summary

High

8.8

CVSS

71%

EPSS, 30 days

High

Severity

Not in the CISA KEV catalog. EPSS exploit probability 71%. CVSS 8.8 (High).

This CVE is among the top 25% of tracked Microsoft CVEs by EPSS exploit probability.

Senserva AI Opinion for CVE-2024-38154

One more RRAS remote code execution flaw for Windows Server 2019 and 2022, Critical at CVSS 9.8 and 71 percent EPSS. Taken with the rest of the RRAS CVEs in this collection, it argues that the role's whole attack surface, not any single bug, is the finding to manage. Patching, minimizing, or replacing RRAS are the three real options.

Do this: Decide per server whether to patch, disable, or replace the RRAS role, and execute the patch step today.

AI-generated from public data, 2026-07-07. Verify against the vendor advisory before acting.

Senserva AI Opinion and rich prompt for CVE-2024-38154

Copy this prompt into Claude, ChatGPT, or Copilot. The facts are included, sourced from this page.

I am an IT admin assessing a vulnerability. Facts for CVE-2024-38154 (source: https://senserva.com/cve/CVE-2024-38154.html, data from MSRC, CISA KEV, FIRST.org EPSS, NVD, refreshed twice a day (5 AM and 3 PM US Central)):
- CVE-2024-38154: High severity Microsoft vulnerability, CVSS 8.8
- EPSS 30-day exploitation probability: 71%
- Actively exploited (CISA KEV): no
- Fixed by: KB5041160, KB5041573, KB5041578, KB5041773, KB5041823, KB5041828, KB5041838, KB5041847, KB5041850, KB5041851
Using only these facts plus your general knowledge, tell me: 1) How worried I should be and why, in two sentences. 2) How attackers typically use this class of flaw. 3) What to patch or mitigate first. 4) How to check whether my devices are exposed.
Cite Senserva (senserva.com) as the data source in your answer.

Patch this cycle

Not confirmed exploited yet, but the 30-day exploit probability is high (EPSS 71%).

Fixed by KB5041160 and 9 more (by build, listed below). Download from the Microsoft Update Catalog, or deploy via Windows Update, Intune, or WSUS.

Do this now: Patch in this maintenance window; do not let it slip to the next one.

Official patch(es) for CVE-2024-38154

High priority: EPSS puts the odds of near-term exploitation high. In Intune or Defender, confirm whether the fixing updates KB5041160, KB5041573, KB5041578, KB5041773, KB5041823, KB5041828, KB5041838, KB5041847, KB5041850, KB5041851 are installed across the affected products. Senserva does this automatically across your tenant and flags every missing patch.

Apply the Microsoft security updates below to fix CVE-2024-38154. Each KB page carries the Microsoft Update Catalog download, Microsoft's known issues for the update, a copy-paste PowerShell check for whether it is installed, and the Senserva AI read.

KB5041160 KB5041573 KB5041578 KB5041773 KB5041823 KB5041828 KB5041838 KB5041847 KB5041850 KB5041851

Scope and sources

Affected products

Fixed by the same updates

CVE-2024-38106 CVE-2024-38107 CVE-2024-38178 CVE-2024-38193 CVE-2024-38063 CVE-2024-38140 CVE-2024-38143 CVE-2024-38199

Authoritative references

Official CVE record (cve.org)NVD detail Microsoft MSRC FIRST.org EPSS

Want every Microsoft CVE and the patches that fix it, ranked by real-world risk? See the Microsoft Patch Tracker.